Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Econ

Yes1%No99%

$32.8M vol.Polymarket

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Econ

Yes46%No54%

$25.2M vol.Polymarket

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Econ

Yes54%No46%

$19.8M vol.Polymarket

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Econ

Yes1%No99%

$14.4M vol.Polymarket

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Econ

Yes0%No100%

$14M vol.Polymarket

Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Politics

Yes1%No99%

$1.3M vol.Polymarket

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Econ

Yes79%No21%

$1.2M vol.Polymarket

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Econ

Yes58%No42%

$1.1M vol.Polymarket

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Econ

Yes1%No99%

$943.6K vol.Polymarket

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Econ

Yes0%No100%

$905.2K vol.Polymarket

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Econ

Yes13%No87%

$892.2K vol.Polymarket

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Econ

Yes38%No62%

$872.8K vol.Polymarket

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Econ

Yes0%No100%

$872.1K vol.Polymarket

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Econ

Yes0%No100%

$836.9K vol.Polymarket

Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Politics

Yes0%No100%

$810.5K vol.Polymarket

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Politics

Yes0%No100%

$750.2K vol.Polymarket

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Econ

Yes6%No94%

$694K vol.Polymarket

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Politics

Yes83%No17%

$678.5K vol.Polymarket

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Econ

Yes1%No99%

$644.8K vol.Polymarket

Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Econ

Yes0%No100%

$615.2K vol.Polymarket

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Econ

Yes2%No98%

$552.7K vol.Polymarket

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Econ

Yes2%No98%

$537.7K vol.Polymarket

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Politics

Yes14%No86%

$517.5K vol.Polymarket

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Politics

Yes0%No100%

$459.9K vol.Polymarket

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Econ

Yes21%No79%

$406K vol.Polymarket

Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Politics

Yes0%No100%

$380.7K vol.Polymarket

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

NFL

Yes7%No93%

$320.3K vol.Polymarket

Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Econ

Yes0%No100%

$318.1K vol.Polymarket

Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition?

Yes

Yes4%No96%

$305K vol.Kalshi

Inflation surge in 2026?

At least 4.5%

Yes24%No76%

$294.1K vol.Kalshi

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Econ

Yes97%No3%

$294.1K vol.Polymarket

Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Politics

Yes0%No100%

$274.6K vol.Polymarket

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Econ

Yes31%No69%

$249.7K vol.Polymarket

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Econ

Yes1%No99%

$232.5K vol.Polymarket

Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Politics

Yes0%No100%

$231K vol.Polymarket

Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Econ

Yes12%No88%

$229K vol.Polymarket